Weather prediction question.
- Stephan van Tonder
- Frequent Flyer
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Weather prediction question.
Hi Guys - I'm sure it has been asked before but I just can't get a simple definite answer and perhaps there isn't one but help me out please. This friday morning I am doing a x-country - plan is Petit, Pinedene corridor, Harties, Aviator's paradise, Brits, Rust de winter dam, Cullinan - Petit. Take off time will be 06:30 and time taken max 3 hours( might stop for breakfast at aviator's)
Now I have looked at some 5 day weather forecasts and some predict rain - others 30% thunderstorms(which I assume is afternoon weather?) etc. Now on Friday morning at 05:00 I want to get up and know the weather 3 hours ahead and current. What is the easiest fastest way of getting a reasonably accurate prediction for the next 3 hours across that area and the current situation?. Weather SA TAF and Metars? or is there somewhere I can phone. It just doesn't seem simple cut and dried.
Now I have looked at some 5 day weather forecasts and some predict rain - others 30% thunderstorms(which I assume is afternoon weather?) etc. Now on Friday morning at 05:00 I want to get up and know the weather 3 hours ahead and current. What is the easiest fastest way of getting a reasonably accurate prediction for the next 3 hours across that area and the current situation?. Weather SA TAF and Metars? or is there somewhere I can phone. It just doesn't seem simple cut and dried.
Nuts about Cheetahs. Petit is the place.
- Wargames
- Frequent Flyer
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- Joined: Sat Jan 12, 2008 2:00 pm
- Location: Morningstar, Cape Town
Re: Weather prediction question.
Try these as well:
http://www.windfinder.com/forecast/vaal_dam
http://www.myweather.co.za
Weathersa Taf and metars is accurate as well. Just remember that the metar is a report of current weather at time of report. Check for speci for notable change in weather. Taf will give you a forecast, with tempo % of change for specific hours, so you would get a accurate discription of weather for period. Also see spot graph of winds at certain flight levels.
Good luck.
PS: Just go and fly the conditions, if you are happy with them.
http://www.windfinder.com/forecast/vaal_dam
http://www.myweather.co.za
Weathersa Taf and metars is accurate as well. Just remember that the metar is a report of current weather at time of report. Check for speci for notable change in weather. Taf will give you a forecast, with tempo % of change for specific hours, so you would get a accurate discription of weather for period. Also see spot graph of winds at certain flight levels.
Good luck.
PS: Just go and fly the conditions, if you are happy with them.
The Naked Trike
ZU-AVL
"I hate CIRCLIPS!!"
ZU-AVL
"I hate CIRCLIPS!!"
- Stephan van Tonder
- Frequent Flyer
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- Joined: Fri Aug 15, 2008 1:53 pm
- Location: Kempton park / Petit
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Re: Weather prediction question.
thanks guys. Massimo thanks that is a nice site - gives a breakdown every couple of hours which is what I was looking for.
Nuts about Cheetahs. Petit is the place.
Re: Weather prediction question.
Someone once asked a meteorologist "Where do you guys get this '75% chance of rain' stuff from?"
Meterologist replied "Well, there's 4 of us working here at the station, and 1 of us disagrees"

But that is a great site, thanks. Did you notice the Remember this page link at the top right- you can automatically go to your town next time you open the site.
Meterologist replied "Well, there's 4 of us working here at the station, and 1 of us disagrees"

But that is a great site, thanks. Did you notice the Remember this page link at the top right- you can automatically go to your town next time you open the site.
- RV4ker (RIP)
- The Big Four K
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- Location: The Coves & FAVB
Re: Weather prediction question.
4 Sale (will trade)
P166S, Jodel, hangar and other odds and sods
Radial - http://tiny.cc/eppqp
Still @ The Coves (Harties) but dream has died
P166S, Jodel, hangar and other odds and sods
Radial - http://tiny.cc/eppqp
Still @ The Coves (Harties) but dream has died
- John Boucher
- The Big Four K
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Re: Weather prediction question.
http://www.weatherphotos.co.za/araition.html
I use the above site. If you are serious about wind, then look at the pigeon racing link to determine low level wind velocities. Lekker to use in an AIR RACE.....
Rudi's site is also comprehensive....
I use the above site. If you are serious about wind, then look at the pigeon racing link to determine low level wind velocities. Lekker to use in an AIR RACE.....
Rudi's site is also comprehensive....
John Boucher
MISASA Chairman 2023
jb.brokers@gmail.com
chairman@misasa.org
A Bushcat is Born - CH 211 C "Super Excited"
MISASA Chairman 2023
jb.brokers@gmail.com
chairman@misasa.org
A Bushcat is Born - CH 211 C "Super Excited"

- RudiGreyling
- Top Gun
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Re: Weather prediction question.
what is an .ocm ???RV4ker wrote:rudi has a nice Cell friendly link on his page as well...
http://www.rudigreyling.ocm/wx

here is the correct link... http://www.RudiGreyling.com/wx
I talked to stephan yesterday, just to help him a bit around the internet patch.
Groete
Rudi
"Science, freedom, beauty, adventure - Aviation offers it all"
http://www.RudiGreyling.com
http://www.RudiGreyling.com
- John Boucher
- The Big Four K
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Re: Weather prediction question.
Seems George has a slight case of dyslexia or the message from the brain got tangled up to the fingers...
Rudi, had a look at you RV7 at EAA Bloem - that is some very neat work done there! The guys were seriously complimenting the finished product!

Rudi, had a look at you RV7 at EAA Bloem - that is some very neat work done there! The guys were seriously complimenting the finished product!

Last edited by John Boucher on Thu Oct 16, 2008 6:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
John Boucher
MISASA Chairman 2023
jb.brokers@gmail.com
chairman@misasa.org
A Bushcat is Born - CH 211 C "Super Excited"
MISASA Chairman 2023
jb.brokers@gmail.com
chairman@misasa.org
A Bushcat is Born - CH 211 C "Super Excited"

-
- Pre flight checks done
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- Joined: Mon Mar 26, 2007 12:08 pm
- Location: Wherever there is aviation
Re: Weather prediction question.
Agreed, its a beauty, and thanks for the picture Rudi, should be on the shelf by next Thurs!Bad Nav wrote:Seems George has a slight case of dyslexia or the message from the brain got tangled up to the fingers...![]()
Rudi, had a look at you RV7a at EAA Bloem - that is some very neat work done there! The guys were seriously complimenting the finished product!
Actually wanted to ask : what do you charge for building one?

I wouldnt fly in anything I built...but I do looove the RV7
- John Boucher
- The Big Four K
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- Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2007 5:23 pm
- Location: Dana Bay, Western Cape South Africa
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Re: Weather prediction question.
Check that skin work..... not a bloody wrinkle to be seen! Bloody marvellous!
- Attachments
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John Boucher
MISASA Chairman 2023
jb.brokers@gmail.com
chairman@misasa.org
A Bushcat is Born - CH 211 C "Super Excited"
MISASA Chairman 2023
jb.brokers@gmail.com
chairman@misasa.org
A Bushcat is Born - CH 211 C "Super Excited"

- RudiGreyling
- Top Gun
- Posts: 695
- Joined: Fri Jun 03, 2005 9:10 am
- Location: The Coves
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Re: Weather prediction question.
Hi John, thanks for your kind words, next time introduce yourself !Bad Nav wrote:<SNIP>
Rudi, had a look at you RV7 at EAA Bloem - that is some very neat work done there! The guys were seriously complimenting the finished product!
- RudiGreyling
- Top Gun
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Re: Weather prediction question.
Hi Kevin, Sorry man it is a labour of love that is why it came out that way! I am not into the building for customer game yet. Currently I am looking forward to the next one...a RV12. The wing kit arrived yesterday...will post pictures soon here: http://www.avcom.co.za/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?f=1&t=37050kevinbark wrote: Actually wanted to ask : what do you charge for building one?I wouldnt fly in anything I built...but I do looove the RV7
Maybe I should move my RV12 build thread from avcom here to microlighters, cause I think more MPL pilots want to upgrade to SPL, then PPL pilots down grade to SPL.

"Science, freedom, beauty, adventure - Aviation offers it all"
http://www.RudiGreyling.com
http://www.RudiGreyling.com
Re: Weather prediction question.
can't you post on both Rudi. I see you have a huge group following the post on Avcom, me for one.
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